About
Why TenKSims exists
The idea
TenKSims was built by a small software team at Validus Business Solutions to answer a simple question honestly: can simulating every game 10,000 times beat the betting market? Instead of claiming it does, we publish every number before kickoff and grade it afterward in public, including the results that go against us. What the testing showed so far is that the model does not beat the closing line on picks, but it does anticipate which way lines move, and that comparing books finds real price differences. So that is what the site leads with.
What it is not
TenKSims is not a sportsbook, a tout service or a guarantee. We take no bets and sell no picks. Best-number alerts are arithmetic about prices on the same wager, projected line moves describe where the market tends to go, and the model view is context, not advice. If a result looks too good to be true on a small sample, it probably is, and we say so on the results page.