Best-number alerts
Live alerts
Refreshes hourly
Sides where one regulated US book is offering a better number or price than the consensus, worth $3 or more per $100. Arithmetic, not prediction. We take no bets.
Numbers are from our last hourly snapshot and can move between refreshes. Confirm the number at the book before you act.
What you are looking at
Best-number alerts
The same bet is priced differently at different books. An alert means one regulated book is still holding a number or price worth $3 or more per $100 against the consensus. It is a better deal on the same wager, not a prediction of who covers.
Projected line moves
We compare 10,000 simulations to the opening line. When our number sits 3 or more points off the opener, we say which way the market is likely to move. Historically it moved our way about two thirds of the time. That tells you which side to be early on, not who wins.
What we do not claim
Our model does not beat the closing line. We publish every result, graded, including the ones that go against us. We take no wagers and sell no predictions.
This week's projected moves
9 callsEvery game (15)
Full slate →Open, consensus and Pinnacle are public. The FREE game shows everything a pass unlocks: best available number, edge per $100 and projected move.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
Kicked off. The close and the graded move are on the Results page.
| Open | Now | Best available | Edge | Move | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIN +2.5 | MIN +3.5Pin +3 | XXX -0.0 -110 | $0.00 | XXX |
| Total | 47.5 | 45.5Pin 45.5 | XXX -0.0 -110 | $0.00 | XXX |
Quick Look
- Every live best-number alert for the current NFL slate
- Every projected line move, not just the first
- Simulation detail and game detail pages as context
- Access until 4h after the last kickoff
All Access
BEST VALUE- All best-number alerts, every slate, refreshed hourly
- All projected line moves as each slate posts
- Simulation detail on every game, plus the full results archive
- Cancel anytime, access through the paid month
Before you buy, read how the model works and how it backtested: Methodology.
How we grade ourselves
Every number we publish is timestamped before kickoff. After the game we record the actual score, the closing spread and total, and whether the line moved toward our projection. Nothing is edited after the fact and nothing is hidden · hits and misses both land on the public results page, alongside a running closing line value chart.